
<--- N. Gregory Mankiw, the head of President George W. Bush's Council
of Economic Advisers. said that "outsourcing is just a new way of
doing international trade," which makes it "a good thing." He is wrong. He has the wrong foresight.
This site has looked to the future and
understands that outsourcing is NOT good.
The future has to be carefully planned.
Today all jobs requiring an education can be outsourced. In the distant
future, robots will enable the replacement of ALL jobs.
Currently, educated foreign workers willing to work for peanuts can
replace most all American workers for jobs requiring an education.
Perfect productivity means that
everything can be produced with no effort and no labor. The goal of engineers and programmers has
always been to automate everything.
Economists have always sought to
increase productivity and competition.
However, this may be the wrong goal for the future. Perhaps we need to actually make jobs less
automated so that more jobs will be created.
However, there is optimism as well.
Look to the theater for an
example.
Movies have made it possible
for one actor to be seem by millions.
However, movies employ relatively few actors.
Most actors today do live performances.
People pay to see live actors.
Theater isn’t as efficient as the movies, but it produces most of the
acting jobs.
Other jobs also don’t have
to be optimally efficient.
Look at the
teaching and legal professions.
They
are high paying, but are they efficient?
The truth is that every job
requiring an education can now be replaced by jobs requiring a computer and a
few technicians. Inquisitive computers
can be programmed to ask skilled technicians for information. Once given the information, the computers
can run courts, make medical diagnoses, teach classes, run governments.
Let’s look at what jobs can be
outsourced or automated from the face of the earth. Teaching jobs can be outsourced.
Foreign people can put lectures on CD’s and students in the USA can play
them to other students. Computers and
people that feed facts into an inquisitive computer can replace the legal
profession. Foreign doctors that advise
nurses and technicians in the USA can replace the jobs of doctors right now.
Is outsourcing good or bad? Outsourcing is good if it keeps the economic
engine tuned and running efficiently. A
balance between the supply of workers and the demand for workers is what keeps
the economic engine balanced, tuned and running optimally. If one part of the economic machinery gets
out of balanced, the whole economic engine of a country will become destabilized
and run inefficiently.
Outsourcing is not a simplistic thing. Jobs that are outsourced must be
controlled. We must look to the future
and decide what jobs are necessary and desirable and try to protect those
jobs. Absolute productivity and
competition are not necessary and perhaps not desirable.
This site endorses Kerry for president for these reasons and others. Note,
however, that the future requires progressive thinking that goes even beyond
the practical and viable short term solutions that Kerry has proposed.
However, short term solutions may yeild the best way to achieve future
goals. Go Kerry!